The Rays are still a highly under-rated club, and though the Orioles are improving as a young talent ball club always will, the Yankees will buy their way into the first place spot in the division, and even with the 2 team playoff, the Jays have WAY too many questions in their lineup to go the distance.
They don't have the depth to challenge over the entire season. Bautista is a monster, and they do have a lot of solid role players, but they have question marks at Left Field with this Travis Snider vs Eric Thames nonsense, J.P. Arencibia isn't THAT great a catcher, and the bullpen is still an arm or two away from being able to make the postseason.
The BoSox may be dysfunction junction, but they are also a veteran bunch with more baseball IQ than the Jays hope to have, and they also have the deep pockets to invest in what they need to make the post-season if they need it. The Jays are still a tough sell for most key players, and unless they miracle a pitcher out of SOMEONE, I think they have holes in the outfield and a the bullpen needs one veteran ace in order to make it that far.
As for Kadri, I don't agree with Don Cherry very often, but Kadri is the best player the Leafs have, and he isn't playing for them. Maybe they want to spare him the bullshit of the TO job (keeping in mind that you play against the opposite team on Game Nights when you're a Leaf, and against the media and the retarded bipolarity of the fan base the rest of the time.
Hockey fans in general are delusional, obsessive and far too quick to over-react and blow the tiniest of things out of proportion, but in no fan base is this more apparent than in Leaf Land.)
I have a joke that explains this situation a little better, but it's a long story joke, so I'll skip to the punchline.
"And then the O.P.P. officer says "Sorry, but usually when I look underneath a Leafs' hat, I see an asshole."